Forensic Lab

Useful tests on held facts — Benford waits for a real extract

Invoice screens on seven rounded accounts notes are not science. Below: ratios that work today on the budget book and audit report, plus Benford clearly marked as under-powered until you import FOI rows.

Data too thin for invoice screens

7 held lines, mostly £000 accounts aggregates. Benford / split-purchase / weekend-pay need a supplier extract. Import FOI CSV.

Tests that work on published totals

Overspend vs 25/26 net
2.15%
£45.7m of £2.13bn — different years, labelled
Education share of overspend
34%
£15.6m of £45.7m (24/25)
Education share of 25/26 net
38.7%
£822.4m official estimate
Social Work share of 25/26 net
27.8%
£592.0m — providers still FOI
Exit packages YoY
+64%
£6.3m → £10.3m
Related-party notes / held £
74%
£43.2m of £58.5m held — not of the £2.13bn

Benford — first digit of held amounts

n=7 · not reliable
Load more rows via FOI