Risk Matrix

Published control failures + transparency gaps

Severity orders your weekend, not a courtroom. Every alert cites a public source. The heat map is a count of held alerts — not a probability model.

Severity × category

Click nothing — this is a reading grid

Categorycriticalhighmediumlow
Budget control·1··
Group / ALEO1···
Transparency·1··
Workforce··1·
Sustainability·1··

Triage queue

high
Budget control
triaged

Record service overspend

£45.7m net service overspend in 2024/25 — highest in six years. Education £15.6m (2%). Audit assessment Amber on financial management.

GCC General Fund2024/25£45,714,000.00

External audit report variance · GCC Annual Accounts 2024/25 + Annual Audit Report 2024/25

critical
Group / ALEO
investigating

Qualified group opinion — City Building

Qualified audit opinion on 2024/25 council and group statements in respect of two City Building group entities.

City Building2024/25

Audit opinion · GCC Annual Accounts 2024/25 + Annual Audit Report 2024/25

high
Transparency
investigating

No public payment register

Unlike English councils, GCC publishes no spend-over-£500 file. 736k invoices exist internally.

Accounts payableongoing

Publication-scheme scan · Honest gap — not missing software

medium
Workforce
new

Exit packages jumped

Disclosed exit packages £10.280m vs £6.258m prior year.

Workforce2024/25£10,280,000.00

Remuneration report YoY · GCC Annual Accounts 2024/25 + Annual Audit Report 2024/25

high
Sustainability
new

Medium-term gap

August 2025 outlook: £90.4m gap 2026/27 and £19.3m 2027/28. Budget Support Fund projected exhausted by 31 March 2026.

Medium-term planAug 2025£90,400,000.00

City Administration Committee outlook cited in AAR · GCC Annual Accounts 2024/25 + Annual Audit Report 2024/25